Augsburg 3-2 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.39 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.03
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.98
X/2
10%
6.68
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
10%
4.75
2/X
5%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.1pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.06/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.34
+30% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Augsburg
3-2
AWAY Sassuolo
16 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Augsburg vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg nicked a narrow win over Sassuolo 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Augsburg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 16-17.

What was the final score of Augsburg vs Sassuolo?

Augsburg 3-2 Sassuolo in the Friendlies on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 46%, draw 28%, Sassuolo 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Augsburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Augsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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