Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.42
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.45
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
18%
4.99
X/2
8%
8.21
X/X
6%
6.23
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
19.9
2/2
13%
5.26
2/X
6%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 8% vs market 2.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 29%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.60/2.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.14
-6% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 22.0
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
AWAY Sevilla
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen squeezed past Sevilla 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Sevilla?

Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Sevilla in the Friendlies on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 55%, draw 19%, Sevilla 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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