Cittadella 1-0 San Paolo Padova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.8pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.8pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY San Paolo Padova EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
4.23/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+111% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
1W-0D-0L
AWAY San Paolo Padova
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
31.07.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 2-1 HT 1-0 San Paolo Padova HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
1-0
AWAY San Paolo Padova
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs San Paolo Padova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella squeezed past San Paolo Padova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cittadella as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 19-5.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs San Paolo Padova?

Cittadella 1-0 San Paolo Padova in the Friendlies on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs San Paolo Padova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 62%, draw 17%, San Paolo Padova 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cittadella) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cittadella) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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