Ferencvaros 1-2 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Aug 2026

Ferencvaros
1-2 HT 0-1
Real Madrid
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Ferencvaros vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.62
2-3 Goals
41%
2.15
4-5 Goals
23%
2.43
6+ Goals
13%
4.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.65
1/2
8%
18.1
1/X
7%
20.4
X/1
8%
15.9
X/2
14%
4.14
X/X
11%
8.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.57
2/X
4%
18.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+9.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.0pp
56%
Away Win
70%
-14.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.1pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ferencvaros v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +71%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
271 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.9
– Crosses 16.9
– Yellow Cards 0.3

Ferencvaros 1-2 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
1-2
AWAY Real Madrid
0.73 xG 1.72
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
342 Passes 612
13 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid nicked a narrow win over Ferencvaros 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.73 to 1.72.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Real Madrid?

Ferencvaros 1-2 Real Madrid in the Friendlies on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 22%, draw 22%, Real Madrid 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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