Köln 2-1 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 30% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.3
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.43
X/2
11%
6.33
X/X
9%
4.92
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
20%
4.19
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 37%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -13%
2.19/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.30
+44% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
POST-MATCH Köln vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln edged past Real Sociedad 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Köln made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Köln vs Real Sociedad?

Köln 2-1 Real Sociedad in the Friendlies on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Köln 38%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5
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