Napoli 1-1 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Aug 2026

Napoli
1-1 HT 1-0
Celta Vigo
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Napoli vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.51
6+ Goals
12%
14.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.51 — our 25% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.72
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.65
X/2
14%
7.43
X/X
12%
4.77
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
14%
5.6
2/X
9%
14.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Napoli v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.66/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.74
-2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Napoli 1-1 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
1-1
AWAY Celta Vigo
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli and Celta Vigo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Napoli vs Celta Vigo?

Napoli 1-1 Celta Vigo in the Friendlies on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Napoli 38%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Napoli), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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