Valencia 1-2 Newcastle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Aug 2026

Valencia
1-2 HT 1-0
Newcastle
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Friendlies – 2026

Valencia vs Newcastle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.13
2-3 Goals
45%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
8.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.28
1/2
5%
23.35
1/X
4%
12.7
X/1
12%
6.66
X/2
7%
5.42
X/X
13%
5.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
2/2
23%
3.11
2/X
9%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valencia v Newcastle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.42/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.45
-2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 83%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
26.0 Crosses 8.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.5

Valencia 1-2 Newcastle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
1-2
AWAY Newcastle
5 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Newcastle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle edged past Valencia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Newcastle found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 5-8.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Newcastle?

Valencia 1-2 Newcastle in the Friendlies on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Newcastle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valencia 39%, draw 25%, Newcastle 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valencia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valencia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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