Rudes 1-6 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 8 Aug 2026

Rudes
1-6 HT 0-4
Osijek
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
53%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 28% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudes EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 56%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.63/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.26
+30% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.1 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudes
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Osijek
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.23 xG 1.99
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
254 Passes 362
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 2-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
07.10.2023 Osijek Osijek 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
30.07.2023 Rudes Rudes 3-4 HT 3-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
12.04.2019 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 2-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
08.02.2019 Rudes Rudes 0-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
20.10.2018 Rudes Rudes 1-4 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudes
1-6
AWAY Osijek
0.60 xG 2.76
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 325
19 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rudes vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek cruised past Rudes 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Osijek as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.60 to 2.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rudes and 2.67 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Rudes vs Osijek?

Rudes 1-6 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudes vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rudes 24%, draw 23%, Osijek 53%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osijek), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Over 2.5
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