Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.82
Over 2.5
56%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.49
6+ Goals
12%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.36/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.29
-4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
22.0 Crosses 16.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
330 Passes 327
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2026 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
06.02.2026 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HT 2-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
03.11.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 4-1 HT 3-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
16.08.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
24.05.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-3 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
28.03.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
3-1
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.13 xG 1.54
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
304 Passes 372
17 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 29
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb saw off HNK Gorica 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiva Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.13 to 1.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured HNK Gorica.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.33 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 49%, draw 22%, HNK Gorica 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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