HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HNK Gorica 4-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica cruised past Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day HNK Gorica made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 33% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 67%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.74 to 0.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HNK Gorica and 2.00 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
HNK Gorica 4-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 34%, draw 27%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), Under 2.5 went the other way.