Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 6 Feb 2026

📅06/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.0
6+ Goals
11%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.2pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.41/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.11
+16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.5 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HNK Gorica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
320 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 4-1 HT 3-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
16.08.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
24.05.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-3 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
28.03.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
21.12.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-4 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
05.10.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
3-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
2.57 xG 3.39
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
182 Passes 415
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb cruised past HNK Gorica 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiva Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 34% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 66%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 2.57 to 3.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured HNK Gorica.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.50 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 44%, draw 25%, HNK Gorica 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✗ BTTS Yes
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