HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HNK Gorica 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb got the better of HNK Gorica 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was HNK Gorica at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 53% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 47%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.28 to 2.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for HNK Gorica and 2.17 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
HNK Gorica 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 46%, draw 23%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.