Osijek 0-2 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 17 Apr 2026

Osijek
0-2 HT 0-2
NK Varazdin
📅17/04/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2025/2026

Osijek vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osijek v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.04/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.06
-30% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
23.6 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Osijek vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
0W-4D-2L
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 Passes 311
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.02.2026 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-1 HT 1-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
03.12.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIRK
02.11.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
17.08.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
17.05.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-1 HT 2-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
16.03.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR

Osijek 0-2 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
0-2
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.18 xG 1.37
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
522 Passes 129
89% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Osijek vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin got the better of Osijek 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Osijek at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Osijek had 74% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 26%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.18 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Osijek and 0.83 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Osijek vs NK Varazdin?

Osijek 0-2 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Osijek 44%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Osijek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5
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