Osijek 0-0 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.95
No
64%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.38
6+ Goals
7%
23.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 35% vs market 33.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.8pp
64%
BTTS No
53%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.25/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.89
+21% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.8 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
2W-3D-1L
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
286 Passes 309
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
29.09.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-1 HT 2-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
15.03.2024 Osijek Osijek 0-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
10.12.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-2 HT 1-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
22.09.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
30.04.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-3 HT 0-2 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
0-0
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.23 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
419 Passes 248
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osijek vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek and NK Varazdin played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Osijek at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Osijek had 61% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 39%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.23 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osijek and 1.00 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Osijek vs NK Varazdin?

Osijek 0-0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Osijek 44%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Osijek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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