NK Varazdin 0-0 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 33% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -20%
1.05/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.05
-14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
18.8 Crosses 19.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Osijek
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
287 Passes 318
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-1 HT 2-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
15.03.2024 Osijek Osijek 0-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
10.12.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-2 HT 1-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
22.09.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
30.04.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-3 HT 0-2 Osijek Osijek HIR
26.02.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
0-0
AWAY Osijek
1.37 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
313 Passes 209
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 6
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin and Osijek played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 57% of the ball to Osijek's 43%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.37 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.33 for Osijek.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Osijek?

NK Varazdin 0-0 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 34%, draw 29%, Osijek 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Osijek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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