Rijeka 3-0 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.49
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.26/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.18
-26% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.5 Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.99 xG 0.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
249 Passes 326
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-3 HT 1-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
15.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-2 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
29.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
07.04.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
28.01.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-2 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
07.10.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
3-0
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.83 xG 0.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
249 Passes 341
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka cruised past Hajduk Split 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Rijeka found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Rijeka had 43% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 57%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.83 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rijeka and 0.67 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?

Rijeka 3-0 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 38%, draw 28%, Hajduk Split 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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