Hajduk Split 1-3 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.66
6+ Goals
6%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
29%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.1pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 32%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.00/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.89
-34% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +78%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rijeka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.64 xG 0.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
343 Passes 250
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-2 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
29.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
07.04.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
28.01.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-2 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
07.10.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
30.07.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
1-3
AWAY Rijeka
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka got the better of Hajduk Split 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 35% / 32% — and on the day Rijeka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 51% of the ball to Rijeka's 49%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.00 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Rijeka?

Hajduk Split 1-3 Rijeka in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 33%, draw 35%, Rijeka 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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