Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 25% vs market 19.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.20/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.58
+27% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -41%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Osijek
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 0.93
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
378 Passes 240
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Osijek Osijek 2-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
27.10.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 HT 1-2 Osijek Osijek HIR
11.08.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
11.05.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
03.03.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
25.11.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
0-1
AWAY Osijek
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek squeezed past Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Zagreb at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 60% of the ball to Osijek's 40%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.50 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek?

Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 Osijek in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 52%, draw 24%, Osijek 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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