Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 29% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.78/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.50
+14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
21.2 Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Osijek
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 0.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
390 Passes 246
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
11.05.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
03.03.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
25.11.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
03.09.2023 Osijek Osijek 2-3 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
07.05.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2-4
AWAY Osijek
2.29 xG 1.68
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
559 Passes 213
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek got the better of Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Dinamo Zagreb carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 68% of the ball to Osijek's 32%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.29 to 1.68 — on chances, Dinamo Zagreb could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.83 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek?

Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 56%, draw 23%, Osijek 21%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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