HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Istra 1961
HIR
0-1
HT 0-1
HNK Gorica
HIR
1-0
HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
5-4
HT 1-2
Istra 1961
HIR
HNK Gorica 1-0 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica squeezed past Istra 1961 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had HNK Gorica as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 47% of the ball to Istra 1961's 53%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.69 to 1.57 — the balance of chances actually favoured Istra 1961.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.17 for Istra 1961.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
HNK Gorica 1-0 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 41%, draw 29%, Istra 1961 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Gorica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.