Osijek 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
40%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.82
Over 2.5
38%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.88
No
62%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.69
6+ Goals
8%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 34% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
19%
+12.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
39%
Away Win
55%
-15.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
51%
+11.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
49%
-11.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.1pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 59%
+18% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.94/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.91
-22% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 82%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
15.0 Crosses 18.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.70 xG 1.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
246 Passes 424
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
03.03.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
25.11.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
03.09.2023 Osijek Osijek 2-3 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
07.05.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
05.03.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
1-2
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb squeezed past Osijek 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Dinamo Zagreb made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osijek had 35% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 65%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Osijek and 1.33 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Osijek 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Osijek 32%, draw 28%, Dinamo Zagreb 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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