NK Varazdin 0-0 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 56%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.54/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.87
+43% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.3 Crosses 18.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rijeka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
277 Passes 331
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 3-1 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
03.03.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
25.11.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
03.09.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-2 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
14.05.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
12.03.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 3-1 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
0-0
AWAY Rijeka
0.31 xG 0.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
236 Passes 364
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin and Rijeka fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Rijeka at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 42% of the ball to Rijeka's 58%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.31 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.67 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Rijeka?

NK Varazdin 0-0 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 28%, draw 26%, Rijeka 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rijeka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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