Osijek 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 57%
+17% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.15/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.87
-7% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
247 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 85%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
14.6 Crosses 18.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 1.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
248 Passes 373
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 HT 1-2 Osijek Osijek HIR
11.08.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
11.05.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
03.03.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
25.11.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
03.09.2023 Osijek Osijek 2-3 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
2-1
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.42 xG 1.55
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 11
155 Passes 391
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 42
7 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek squeezed past Dinamo Zagreb 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Zagreb at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Osijek had 33% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 67%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.42 to 1.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Dinamo Zagreb.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Osijek and 1.83 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Osijek 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Osijek 30%, draw 26%, Dinamo Zagreb 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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