Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-2 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 51%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.21/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.04
+25% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
17.5 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
267 Passes 342
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
11.08.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
16.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.12.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
23.09.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
07.05.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-3 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
3-2
AWAY Hajduk Split
2.19 xG 2.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
165 Passes 308
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb nicked a narrow win over Hajduk Split 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hajduk Split at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 39% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 61%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.19 to 2.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.50 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-2 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 27%, Hajduk Split 44%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Under 2.5
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