NK Varazdin 2-1 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.19/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.94
-15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.6 Crosses 13.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Osijek
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.82 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
300 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIRK
02.11.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
17.08.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
17.05.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-1 HT 2-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
16.03.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
15.12.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
2-1
AWAY Osijek
0.86 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
368 Passes 317
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin nicked a narrow win over Osijek 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day NK Varazdin made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 53% of the ball to Osijek's 47%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.86 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for NK Varazdin and 0.33 for Osijek.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Osijek?

NK Varazdin 2-1 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 39%, draw 26%, Osijek 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✓ BTTS Yes
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