NK Varazdin 1-1 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
45%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
41%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
45%
Away Win
30%
+14.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 34%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.77
+123% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +98%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Osijek
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.87 xG 0.84
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
17.08.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
17.05.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-1 HT 2-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
16.03.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
15.12.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
29.09.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-1 HT 2-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
1-1
AWAY Osijek
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin and Osijek couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Osijek at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 59% of the ball to Osijek's 41%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for NK Varazdin and 0.50 for Osijek.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Osijek?

NK Varazdin 1-1 Osijek in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 30%, draw 25%, Osijek 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Osijek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5
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