AZ Alkmaar 2-0 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.35
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
6.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.63
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.05
X/1
22%
4.11
X/2
5%
15.05
X/X
9%
7.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.7
2/2
4%
11.6
2/X
5%
19.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
68%
+1.1pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.4pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
2.30/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.15
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
418 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
37.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
18.7 Crosses 15.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.42 xG 0.68
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
486 Passes 217
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2021 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
25.10.2020 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
07.03.2020 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-0 HT 2-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
22.09.2019 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
13.04.2019 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-3 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
11.11.2018 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar
2-0
AWAY ADO Den Haag
2.67 xG 0.95
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 7
387 Passes 327
35 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar got the better of ADO Den Haag 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.67 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.00 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?

AZ Alkmaar 2-0 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 69%, draw 19%, ADO Den Haag 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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