Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.7 — our 27% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
22%
4.25
X/2
7%
11.65
X/X
11%
6.53
2/1
7%
20.0
2/2
9%
8.74
2/X
5%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.32/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.79
+16% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
18.5 Crosses 15.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Willem II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 0.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
389 Passes 302
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
18.08.2024 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
08.04.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-0 HT 2-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
27.11.2021 Willem II Willem II 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
16.04.2017 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
25.11.2016 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
4-1
AWAY Willem II
2.43 xG 1.51
20 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
506 Passes 196
34 Box Touches 15
38 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles cruised past Willem II 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.43 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 0.83 for Willem II.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II?

Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 58%, draw 21%, Willem II 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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