PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.18
Draw
12%
7.13
Away
6%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
4.67
Over 2.5
70%
1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
10.45
2-3 Goals
32%
2.65
4-5 Goals
33%
2.27
6+ Goals
20%
3.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1.28
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
3%
24.2
X/1
14%
4.28
X/2
2%
27.5
X/X
5%
13.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
17.8
2/2
3%
20.95
2/X
4%
28.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.8 — our 15% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
80%
+1.5pp
12%
Draw
11%
+0.5pp
7%
Away Win
8%
-2.0pp
30%
Under 2.5
18%
+12.2pp
70%
Over 2.5
82%
-12.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.76/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.09
+30% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
493 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
43.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
25.0 Crosses 11.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.12 xG 0.64
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
564 Passes 195
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2026 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
31.10.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5-2 HT 3-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
03.05.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-1 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
22.09.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-3 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
12.05.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-1 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
21.10.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
2-2
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
2.31 xG 1.01
21 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 0
667 Passes 165
41 Box Touches 13
37 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PSV Eindhoven at 82% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.31 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.17 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard?

PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 82%, draw 12%, Fortuna Sittard 7%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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