Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Sittard v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
Fortuna Sittard 1-2 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Sittard 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 30% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 70%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.38 to 2.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PSV Eindhoven's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 3.00 for PSV Eindhoven.
What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven?
Fortuna Sittard 1-2 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven?
Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 22%, draw 18%, PSV Eindhoven 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.