PSV Eindhoven 5-2 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.16
Draw
11%
7.13
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
4.0
Over 2.5
73%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
9.73
2-3 Goals
34%
2.55
4-5 Goals
33%
2.28
6+ Goals
18%
3.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.24
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
3%
27.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
30%
4.17
X/2
3%
32.5
X/X
4%
13.75
2/1
12%
19.25
2/2
3%
25.5
2/X
4%
33.0
Value flag · X/1 at 4.17 — our 30% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
82%
-0.9pp
11%
Draw
11%
-0.5pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.5pp
27%
Under 2.5
22%
+6.0pp
73%
Over 2.5
78%
-6.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.3pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
2.86/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.27
+25% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +6%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
478 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
44.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
25.5 Crosses 10.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.49 xG 0.81
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
550 Passes 167
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
40 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-1 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
22.09.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-3 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
12.05.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-1 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
21.10.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
14.05.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
15.01.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-2 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
5-2
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
2.20 xG 0.74
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
557 Passes 309
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
44 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven swept aside Fortuna Sittard 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 62% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 38%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.20 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.17 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard?

PSV Eindhoven 5-2 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 81%, draw 11%, Fortuna Sittard 8%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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