Ajka 1-1 Karcag SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Karcag SE EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.16/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.89
-16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Karcag SE
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
05.04.2026 Karcag SE Karcag SE 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
05.10.2025 Ajka Ajka 0-1 HT 0-0 Karcag SE Karcag SE MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
1-1
AWAY Karcag SE
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Karcag SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka and Karcag SE couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ajka at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ajka and 0.50 for Karcag SE.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Karcag SE?

Ajka 1-1 Karcag SE in the Hungary - NB II on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Karcag SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ajka 46%, draw 30%, Karcag SE 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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