Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-2 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2026

Podbeskidzie Bielsko
2-2 HT 1-1
Lechia Gdansk
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2026/2027

Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Podbeskidzie Bielsko v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.00/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.35
+1% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.72 xG 2.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
220 Passes 310
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-2 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL1
25.08.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 3-0 HT 1-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
06.03.2021 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-2 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
26.09.2020 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 4-0 HT 3-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL
13.02.2016 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 5-0 HT 0-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL
28.08.2015 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-1 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-2 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
2-2
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Podbeskidzie Bielsko and Lechia Gdansk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Podbeskidzie Bielsko at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Podbeskidzie Bielsko and 2.83 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Lechia Gdansk?

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-2 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - 1st Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Podbeskidzie Bielsko win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Podbeskidzie Bielsko 56%, draw 20%, Lechia Gdansk 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
8 Aug 2026
16:30 Puszcza Niepolomice vs Odra Opole Analysis →
16:30 Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Analysis →
16:30 Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow Analysis →