Stal Mielec 1-1 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.63
6+ Goals
14%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.6pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.86/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.27
-7% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2026 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 3-1 HT 2-1 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
27.09.2025 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 3-2 HT 1-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL1
12.07.2024 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 5-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow HAZ
25.11.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-0 HT 1-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
1-1
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec and Stal Rzeszow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Stal Mielec carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stal Mielec had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.00 for Stal Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow?

Stal Mielec 1-1 Stal Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 58%, draw 19%, Stal Rzeszow 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stal Mielec), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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