Stal Mielec 3-1 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.22/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.73
-27% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.09.2025 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 3-2 HT 1-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL1
12.07.2024 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 5-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow HAZ
25.11.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-0 HT 1-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
3-1
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec got the better of Stal Rzeszow 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stal Mielec as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 47% of the ball to Stal Rzeszow's 53%, shots finished 7-20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stal Mielec had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.00 for Stal Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow?

Stal Mielec 3-1 Stal Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 51%, draw 23%, Stal Rzeszow 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Mielec), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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