Stal Rzeszow 3-2 Stal Mielec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.95/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.66/2.77
+28% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Rzeszow
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Stal Mielec
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
12.07.2024 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 5-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow HAZ
25.11.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-0 HT 1-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Rzeszow
3-2
AWAY Stal Mielec
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stal Rzeszow vs Stal Mielec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Rzeszow nicked a narrow win over Stal Mielec 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stal Rzeszow as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stal Rzeszow had 46% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 54%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stal Mielec led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Stal Rzeszow and 3.00 for Stal Mielec.

What was the final score of Stal Rzeszow vs Stal Mielec?

Stal Rzeszow 3-2 Stal Mielec in the Poland - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Rzeszow vs Stal Mielec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stal Rzeszow 43%, draw 23%, Stal Mielec 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Rzeszow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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