Tychy 71 1-3 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.3pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tychy 71 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.52/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.79
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tychy 71
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.03.2025 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 2-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
21.08.2024 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 0-1 HT 0-1 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tychy 71
1-3
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tychy 71 vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce got the better of Tychy 71 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tychy 71 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Tychy 71 had 60% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 40%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tychy 71 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tychy 71 and 0.00 for Pogon Siedlce.

What was the final score of Tychy 71 vs Pogon Siedlce?

Tychy 71 1-3 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tychy 71 vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tychy 71 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tychy 71 45%, draw 24%, Pogon Siedlce 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tychy 71) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tychy 71) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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