Chaves 1-4 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Aug 2026

Chaves
1-4 HT 0-2
Academica
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2026/2027

Chaves vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chaves v Academica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.53/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.42
-17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.0 Crosses 16.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3

Chaves vs Academica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Academica
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
226 Passes 333
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.04.2022 Chaves Chaves 3-2 HT 3-0 Academica Academica POR2
12.12.2021 Academica Academica 1-2 HT 1-1 Chaves Chaves POR2
24.04.2021 Academica Academica 2-1 HT 0-1 Chaves Chaves POR2
27.12.2020 Chaves Chaves 2-1 HT 1-0 Academica Academica POR2
09.02.2020 Chaves Chaves 1-2 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR2
24.08.2019 Academica Academica 1-2 HT 1-1 Chaves Chaves POR2

Chaves 1-4 Academica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
1-4
AWAY Academica
18 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica ran out comfortable winners over Chaves 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chaves at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chaves and 1.50 for Academica.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Academica?

Chaves 1-4 Academica in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chaves 47%, draw 28%, Academica 25%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chaves), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chaves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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