Penafiel vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penafiel v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-3
Portimonense
POK
Penafiel 0-1 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Portimonense edged past Penafiel 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Penafiel at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 13-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Penafiel and 1.33 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Penafiel vs Portimonense?
Penafiel 0-1 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 46%, draw 27%, Portimonense 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Penafiel), BTTS Yes went the other way.