Tondela 2-1 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Aug 2026

Tondela
2-1 HT 2-1
Amarante
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2026/2027

Tondela vs Amarante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 34% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tondela v Amarante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tondela EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.3 Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Tondela 2-1 Amarante — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
2-1
AWAY Amarante
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tondela vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tondela edged past Amarante 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tondela as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Tondela vs Amarante?

Tondela 2-1 Amarante in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tondela vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tondela 49%, draw 28%, Amarante 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tondela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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