Penafiel vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penafiel v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-3
Portimonense
POK
1-1
HT 1-1
Portimonense
POR2
Penafiel 0-2 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Portimonense got the better of Penafiel 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Portimonense made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Penafiel had 28% of the ball to Portimonense's 72%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.26 to 3.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Penafiel and 1.17 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Penafiel vs Portimonense?
Penafiel 0-2 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 38%, draw 26%, Portimonense 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Penafiel), BTTS Yes went the other way.