Farense 0-0 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Jan 2026

Farense
0-0 HT 0-0
UD Oliveirense
📅17/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Farense vs UD Oliveirense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Farense v UD Oliveirense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.79/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.69
-15% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.3 Crosses 13.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Farense vs UD Oliveirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense
5W-1D-0L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
268 Passes 279
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2025 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-1 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR2
29.07.2023 Farense Farense 3-2 HT 3-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense PRLK
14.04.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-2 HT 0-1 Farense Farense POR2
30.10.2022 Farense Farense 2-0 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
16.02.2020 Farense Farense 3-1 HT 1-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
01.09.2019 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-1 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR2

Farense 0-0 UD Oliveirense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense
0-0
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.76 xG 0.63
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 8
277 Passes 154
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense and UD Oliveirense played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Farense at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Farense had 56% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 44%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.76 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Farense and 0.83 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Farense vs UD Oliveirense?

Farense 0-0 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Farense 55%, draw 22%, UD Oliveirense 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Farense), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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