Benfica II vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica II v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Benfica II vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Benfica II
POR2
3-1
HT 0-0
Chaves
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Benfica II
POR2
Benfica II 1-0 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica II nicked a narrow win over Chaves 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Benfica II made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Benfica II had 65% of the ball to Chaves's 35%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 2.58 to 0.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Benfica II's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Benfica II and 0.67 for Chaves.
What was the final score of Benfica II vs Chaves?
Benfica II 1-0 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 38%, draw 27%, Chaves 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.