Chaves 1-1 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
26%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.42/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.56
-3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.4 Crosses 16.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Benfica II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 1.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 377
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2025 Chaves Chaves 1-2 HT 1-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
06.10.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 1-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
25.02.2022 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
03.10.2021 Benfica II Benfica II 3-1 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
14.02.2021 Chaves Chaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
23.09.2020 Benfica II Benfica II 3-4 HT 0-3 Chaves Chaves POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
1-1
AWAY Benfica II
1.81 xG 1.17
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
407 Passes 133
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves and Benfica II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Chaves had 70% of the ball to Benfica II's 30%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.81 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chaves and 1.67 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Benfica II?

Chaves 1-1 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chaves 37%, draw 24%, Benfica II 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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