Maritimo vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo 0-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa edged past Maritimo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Maritimo had 55% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 45%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.70 to 1.53.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Maritimo 0-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 44%, draw 27%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maritimo) went the other way.