Leixoes 3-0 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.15
6+ Goals
10%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.9pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.20/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.27
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.5 Crosses 13.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.05 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
248 Passes 42
67% Pass Accuracy 52%
13 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
18.04.2025 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 4-0 HT 2-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
07.12.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 2-2 HT 0-1 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
3-0
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
2.36 xG 1.99
36% Ball Possession 64%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
154 Passes 167
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes cruised past Felgueiras 1932 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Leixoes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leixoes had 36% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 64%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.36 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Felgueiras 1932 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leixoes and 3.00 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Felgueiras 1932?

Leixoes 3-0 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 36%, draw 27%, Felgueiras 1932 36%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ BTTS Yes
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