Felgueiras 1932 4-0 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.3
6+ Goals
7%
22.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 35% vs market 32.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.2pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.47
-33% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.1 Crosses 19.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Felgueiras 1932
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Leixoes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 1.05
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
24 Passes 344
52% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
07.12.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 2-2 HT 0-1 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
4-0
AWAY Leixoes
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
59 Passes 151
53% Pass Accuracy 56%
3 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 cruised past Leixoes 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Felgueiras 1932 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 50% of the ball to Leixoes's 50%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes?

Felgueiras 1932 4-0 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 44%, draw 28%, Leixoes 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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