Portimonense 2-0 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2025

Portimonense
2-0 HT 2-0
Paços De Ferreira
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Portimonense vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portimonense v Paços De Ferreira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +9%
1.30/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.40
-20% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.1 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Portimonense vs Paços De Ferreira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.48 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 244
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.12.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
06.02.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 1-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
15.08.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-3 HT 0-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
05.02.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-1 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
29.08.2021 Portimonense Portimonense 0-1 HT 0-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
09.02.2021 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR

Portimonense 2-0 Paços De Ferreira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
2-0
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
167 Passes 238
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense beat Paços De Ferreira 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Portimonense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Portimonense had 44% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 56%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portimonense and 0.33 for Paços De Ferreira.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Paços De Ferreira?

Portimonense 2-0 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 39%, draw 29%, Paços De Ferreira 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portimonense), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portimonense) ✓ Under 2.5
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