Paços De Ferreira 0-1 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Dec 2024

Paços De Ferreira
0-1 HT 0-0
Portimonense
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Paços De Ferreira vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paços De Ferreira v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.34/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.62
-13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
26.6 Crosses 11.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Paços De Ferreira vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Portimonense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
232 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.02.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 1-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
15.08.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-3 HT 0-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
05.02.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-1 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
29.08.2021 Portimonense Portimonense 0-1 HT 0-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
09.02.2021 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
21.09.2020 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 0-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR

Paços De Ferreira 0-1 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
0-1
AWAY Portimonense
1.92 xG 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
27 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
276 Passes 192
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense nicked a narrow win over Paços De Ferreira 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Portimonense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 56% of the ball to Portimonense's 44%, shots finished 27-13, expected goals 1.92 to 1.25 — on chances, Paços De Ferreira could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.00 for Portimonense.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Portimonense?

Paços De Ferreira 0-1 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 36%, draw 30%, Portimonense 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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