Mafra vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mafra v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals
Mafra vs Maritimo Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Mafra
POR2
4-2
HT 1-1
Maritimo
POK
3-0
HT 1-0
Mafra
PORLC
Mafra 2-3 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo edged past Mafra 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Maritimo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mafra had 48% of the ball to Maritimo's 52%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.77 to 1.55.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mafra had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mafra and 1.50 for Maritimo.
What was the final score of Mafra vs Maritimo?
Mafra 2-3 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mafra vs Maritimo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mafra 33%, draw 28%, Maritimo 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.